This time it’s false that there is no winers and losers, even if it is only for the psicological charge of the results of the electoral night. The autonomic and local elections held yesterday leave a political panorama with some important data for next year’s general elections and related to the constitucional change, the possible change in the Navarra’s Government and the future of the Basque Country and more especifically, in Álava. From a global perspective and after and agonic counting, PP wins the elections in votes against PSOE, circumstance that has not happened in the last 7 years because since the absolute majority achieved in 2000, PP had not won against the socialists. Considering these elections as it were “primaries” and considered by the main party in opposition as a referendum about the Government’s policy, and more specifically about the negotiation with ETA, the simbolic valor of this victory is great, even if it is only achieved by a little number of votes, more than 150.000 as it already happened in 1999 -before PP absolute majority– and in 2003 -before PSOE won the elections although not by absolute majority-. With the 99.81% of the total vote counted, PP is the party that has received more votes (7.906.064), 35.62 % of the votes, with 23.348 councillors; while PSOE has obtained 7.746.862 votes, 34.9 %, with 24.021 councillors.
This is the first defeat of Zapatero in this term and the closing of the difficult moment which began for the PP after the dramatic and traumatic defeat on March 14th, 2004; on the other hand, this lets Rajoy’s party held to the past sequences of votes which tells that the party which wins the local elections is the winner of the next general elections, even if yesterday’s growth is not translated in a growth in autonomical power.
The Autonomous Community results are (PP=Popular Party, center right; PSOE=Socialists; IU= United Left; Communists):
Madrid: PP makes its victory broader. The President, Esperanza Aguirre, has already been called “Esperanza superstar”. The leftists had been making fun of her but she has shown that she is capable of winning with a substantial difference, even in the called “red belt of Madrid Community”, a traditional feud of PSOE:
Balearic Islands: PP majority in danger. Needs a pact:
Navarra: UPN (PP allies in the Community) has more votes but fails to win absolute majority (last term they were in Government with CDN, jointed they also have less votes than absolute majority. ANV -Batasuna’s party– and Nafarroa Bai -nationalists– are the great winners):
Aragón: PSOE wins and has more votes while PP has a few less votes in the community. PSOE growth’s is due to votes’ descent of Chunta Aragonesista (nationalists of Aragon), but it does not have the absolute majority:
La Rioja: PP has again absolute majority in the Community. The votes do not vary substantially:
Asturias: PP has more votes but PSOE has more seats -another consequence of the marvellous Spanish voting system-. And as United Left also has representation, PSOE will make a pact with them:
Cantabria: PP is the more voted but does not obtain the absolute majority, so the socialists will govern with the regionalists of the Community -who have 4 more seats-:
Castilla-Leon: PP’s feud by excellence, it obtains againt the absolute majority:
Extremadura: Spain’s more backward Autonomous Community, the victory of the Socialists obeys more to PER (a kind of subsidy to the country workers, which was needed in other momments of real misery, than now, that is really used to maintain PSOE in power). PP wins 1 seat while PSOE wins other 2 from United left which dissappears from this Community:
Castilla La Mancha: PSOE maintains its absolute majority but PP has more seats. The three seats lost by PSOE are won by PP. United Left has no representation:
Murcia: PP maintains its absolute majority and has one more seat.
Comunidad Valenciana: PP maintains its absolute majority and wins 7 more seats:
Canary Islands: PSOE wins, after copying the political program of Ciutadans de Catalunya, but does not obtain the absolute majority. PP loses 2 seats and the Canary nationalists 5. The government will depend precisely on the nationalists position:
Cities in Northern Morocco:
Autonomous City of Melilla: PP maintains it majority but it loses percentage in votes:
Autonomous City of Ceuta: PP also maintains its majority -and seats- and with more percentage of the votes:
- Spanish Elections Watch 2007: Alea jacta est.
- Spanish Elections Watch 2007 (part 4): more corruption, more violence and terrorism.
- Spanish Elections Watch 2007 (part 3): more violence and ANV.
- Spanish Elections Watch 2007 (part 2): agressions on PP members.
- Spanish Elections Watch 2007.
- Corrupsoe reloaded (part 2): Sebastián, socialist candidate to Madrid’s Majorship.
- Corrupsoe reloaded (part 1): Ibiza connection and Arenillas.